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Home World World Cup France — Sweden

Predictions France vs Sweden June 30, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 30 Jun · 21:00
3:0
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Home Win · FRA
68%
Best 1.31
Draw
19%
Best 6.52
Away Win · SWE
14%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.63
Fair odds
5.39
book 5.63 · +4.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +4.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (68%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 10.45
Show model details
Implied probability 9.6%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.63
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
FRA – SWE @ 5.63
+4.4%
Edge
Forecast →