Match Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.92 — +11.8% better than the market.

Karviná shows a slight home edge with a more compact defense compared to Sigma Olomouc's leaky backline. Despite Sigma's marginally better overall quality, Karviná's recent home momentum and stronger offensive matchup against Sigma's defense suggest a tight contest. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but the tactical battle likely favors a cautious, low-scoring game.

Karviná's defensive solidity at home
Sigma's defensive vulnerabilities
Recent form favors a balanced, tactical duel

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.92 ✗ Lost

AI 38% Implied 34% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAR 4-2-3-1 · SIG 3-4-3

KAR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · SIG

26 Ezeh

📊 Statistics

KAR 1 – 3 SIG

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.02

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sigma Olomouc won 3–1 away at Karviná. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.02 to 1.52.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.44 units (Brier 0.241).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.45	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.19	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.30	—	37%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.20	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.70	—	46%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.70	—	25%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.65	—	37%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.92	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	51%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	88%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.44u	−20% ROI