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Home Sigma Olomouc — Pardubice

Preview Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
Home · last 5 L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Pardubice
Pardubice
L L L D Away · last 5
Home Win · SIG
49%
Best 1.91
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · PAR
26%
Best 3.90

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Sigma Olomouc shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling Pardubice side. The home team’s ability to convert chances and maintain pressure is evident from their higher expected goals before the match.

  • Olomouc’s compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Pardubice’s defensive frailties.
  • Despite Pardubice’s slightly better recent points per game, their away struggles and poor form suggest a tough outing.
  • The odds hint at a moderately open game, but home edge and tactical discipline favor Sigma.

Expect a controlled tempo with Sigma pressing to capitalize early, while Pardubice may look to absorb pressure and counter.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% Sigma Olomouc win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 74% 1X
  • 1X2 Sigma Olomouc win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 74%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sigma Olomouc
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.44 / 1.05
Pardubice
W/D/L 0-1-4
Goals (for / against) 4 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.30 / 1.87

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.75
Goals Scored
0.75
1.50
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
4.25
Shots on Target
2.75
3.25
Corners
3.75
43
Possession (%)
32.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
81
OFF · home
69
50
DEF · home
69
56
OFF · away
0
75
DEF · away
31
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Sigma Olomouc wins when scoring first
Pardubice wins when scoring first
Sigma Olomouc BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Pardubice BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Sigma Olomouc Over 2.5 · last 10
100%
Pardubice Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Sigma Olomouc comeback rate · last 10
0%
Pardubice comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Sigma Olomouc · last 6 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 25%
76–90 49%

Pardubice · last 5 away

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 33%
76–90 17%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

L. Lurvink
SIG · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90
D. Tkáč
SIG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.92 g/90
T. Boledovic
PAR · Midfielder
1 G · 0.96 g/90