Match Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.86 — +9.0% better than the market.

Anderlecht holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against KV Mechelen, who have struggled on the road recently. The home side's solid defense and slightly better form suggest they can control the game's rhythm. Expect a tactical battle where Anderlecht's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

Home advantage with a compact defensive block
Anderlecht's offensive edge against Mechelen's defense
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.86 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AND 4-2-3-1 · MEC 3-4-2-1

AND · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · MEC

14 Sikan

📊 Statistics

AND 2 – 2 MEC

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Anderlecht and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.84 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.86	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.21	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.21	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.68	—	52%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	53%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.94	—	41%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	30%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	82%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.38	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	75%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.82	—	24%	Cashed	+2.82	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.17	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.01	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.84u	−11% ROI