Match Espanyol vs Athletic Club May 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.75 — +8.5% better than the market.

Espanyol hosts Athletic Club in a La Liga clash where defensive solidity could be key. Despite Athletic's slight quality edge, Espanyol's home form and pressing style may disrupt their rhythm. Both sides show modest attacking output, hinting at a tight, tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Espanyol's home momentum contrasts with Athletic's inconsistent away form.
Defensive resilience likely to shape the match pace and goal opportunities.
Modest attacking indices suggest a cautious approach from both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.75 ✗ Lost

AI 39% Implied 36% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ESP 4-4-2 · BIL 4-2-3-1

ESP · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · BIL

9 Fernández

Subs used · ESP

63'

Jofre ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

63'

Milla ↑ ·

Roca ↓

84'

Garcia ↑ ·

Fernandez Jaen ↓

84'

Terrats ↑ ·

Exposito ↓

90+1'

Pickel ↑ ·

Gonzalez ↓

Subs used · BIL

46'

Alvarez ↑ ·

Vivian ↓

63'

Guruzeta ↑ ·

Williams ↓

63'

Jauregizar ↑ ·

Ruiz de Galarreta ↓

71'

Gorosabel ↑ ·

Areso ↓

78'

Serrano ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

📊 Statistics

ESP 2 – 0 BIL

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

66%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 2 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

Y. Alvarez ↓ · D. Vivian ↑

Substitution 1

Jofre ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

P. Milla ↓ · A. Roca ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

⇄

G. Guruzeta ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 2

63'

⇄

M. Jauregizar ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑

Substitution 3

P. Milla

Assist · C. Romero · 1–0

⚽

69'

71'

⇄

A. Gorosabel ↓ · J. Areso ↑

Substitution 4

78'

⇄

N. Serrano ↓ · U. Gomez ↑

Substitution 5

K. Garcia ↓ · R. Fernandez Jaen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

R. Terrats ↓ · Exposito ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

C. Pickel ↓ · U. Gonzalez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

K. Garcia

Assist · R. Terrats · 2–0

⚽

90+2'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Espanyol beat Athletic Club 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes.

On the scoresheet: P. Milla (69'), K. Garcia (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.05 units (Brier 0.179).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.75	2.66	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.81	1.67	56%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS No	1.94	1.89	51%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.20	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.86	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.98	1.91	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.06	1.99	34%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	1.42	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.54	1.44	61%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Home Win	2.92	2.78	34%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	3.10	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	1.06	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	1.22	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	1.36	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	8.00	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.35	3.19	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.05u	−18% ROI