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Home Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Osasuna

Predictions Athletic Club vs Osasuna April 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Tue 21 Apr · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Home Win · BIL
45%
Best 1.83
Draw
26%
Best 3.41
Away Win · OSA
29%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.05
Fair odds
1.83
book 2.05 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +12.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (71%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – OSA @ 2.05
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →