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Home Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Elche

Predictions Rayo Vallecano vs Elche April 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Fri 03 Apr · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Home Win · RAY
47%
Best 1.73
Draw
25%
Best 3.82
Away Win · ELC
28%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.89
book 2.10 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +11.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 47%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 5.02
Show model details
Implied probability 19.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.69
Show model details
Implied probability 27.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
RAY – ELC @ 2.10
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →