Match Real Sociedad vs Levante April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.64 — +7.4% better than the market.

Real Sociedad holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Levante, who have struggled away. Sociedad's solid defense and sharper attack create a pressing advantage, while Levante's form shows signs of inconsistency. Expect a controlled tempo with Sociedad likely to dominate possession and create chances.

Home side's defensive resilience vs Levante's moderate attack
Recent form favors Sociedad's ability to capitalize on chances
Match pace likely moderate, supporting a tactical, structured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 61% +0.64u

+64%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RSO 4-2-3-1 · LEV 4-2-3-1

RSO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LEV

10 Oyarzabal

Subs used · RSO

63'

Marin ↑ ·

Barrenetxea ↓

64'

Mendez ↑ ·

Sucic ↓

69'

Elustondo ↑ ·

Caleta-Car ↓

85'

Oskarsson ↑ ·

Guedes ↓

85'

Aguirre ↑ ·

Turrientes ↓

Subs used · LEV

46'

Martinez ↑ ·

Losada ↓

46'

Matturro ↑ ·

Moreno ↓

59'

Raghouber ↑ ·

Rey ↓

59'

Romero ↑ ·

Tunde ↓

81'

Abed ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

📊 Statistics

RSO 2 – 0 LEV

60%

Possession (%)

40%

2.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 0

Ander Barrenetxea

Yellow Card

▮

15'

▮

Manuel Sánchez

Yellow Card

17'

▮

Matias Moreno

Yellow Card

J. Martin

Assist · C. Soler · 1–0

⚽

30'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

P. Martinez ↓ · I. Losada ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

A. Matturro ↓ · M. Moreno ↑

Substitution 2

54'

▮

Carlos Espí

Yellow Card

59'

⇄

U. Raghouber ↓ · O. Rey ↑

Substitution 3

59'

⇄

I. Romero ↓ · K. Tunde ↑

Substitution 4

P. Marin ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

B. Mendez ↓ · L. Sucic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

A. Elustondo ↓ · D. Caleta-Car ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

81'

⇄

T. Abed ↓ · V. Garcia ↑

Substitution 5

B. Mendez

Assist · P. Marin · 2–0

⚽

83'

O. Oskarsson ↓ · G. Guedes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

I. Aguirre ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Jon Martin

Yellow Card

▮

87'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Real Sociedad beat Levante 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.72 to 0.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Martin (30'), B. Mendez (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.92 units (Brier 0.109).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.64	—	66%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	48%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.07	—	48%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.40	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	87%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	70%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.24	—	66%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	76%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Away Win	5.78	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.48	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.92u	−29% ROI