Match Elche vs Mallorca March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.32 — +5.7% better than the market.

Elche holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their offensive edge against Mallorca's defense suggests they can create chances, while Mallorca's defensive solidity may limit goals. Expect a moderately paced game with Elche pressing for control and Mallorca relying on a compact block and counterattacks.

Home side's better form and attacking potential
Mallorca's defensive resilience
Moderate goal environment hinted by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.32 ✓ Cashed

AI 80% Implied 76% +0.32u

+32%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · MAL 4-2-3-1

ELC · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · MAL

20 Rodriguez

Subs used · ELC

64'

Villar ↑ ·

Diangana ↓

79'

Redondo Solari ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

80'

Sangare ↑ ·

Mir ↓

90+5'

Petrot ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

90+5'

Pedrosa ↑ ·

Valera ↓

Subs used · MAL

65'

Darder ↑ ·

Torre ↓

65'

Morlanes ↑ ·

Luvumbo ↓

89'

Kalumba ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 2 – 1 MAL

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

-5'

▮

Pablo Maffeo

Yellow Card

Víctor Chust

Yellow Card

▮

29'

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⚽

P. Torre

Assist · Z. Luvumbo · 0–1

R. Mir

1–1

⚽

62'

G. Villar ↓ · G. Diangana ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

65'

⇄

S. Darder ↓ · P. Torre ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

M. Morlanes ↓ · Z. Luvumbo ↑

Substitution 2

Tete Morente

Assist · G. Valera · 2–1

⚽

71'

F. Redondo Solari ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

Buba Sangare ↓ · R. Mir ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

82'

▮

Toni Lato

Yellow Card

89'

⇄

J. Kalumba ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 3

90+3'

▮

Antonio Raíllo

Yellow Card

L. Petrot ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+5'

A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Valera ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+5'

Léo Pétrot

Yellow Card

▮

90+7'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Elche beat Mallorca 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Torre (58'), R. Mir (62'), Tete Morente (71').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.11 units (Brier 0.136).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.20	—	53%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	1.99	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.81	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.16	—	44%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	48%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.62	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	80%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	76%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	70%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.43	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.11u	−24% ROI