P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano March 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 13:00
1:0
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee A. Cordero
Home Win · BAR
79%
Best 1.22
Draw
15%
Best 7.10
Away Win · RAY
6%
Best 11.75
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.18
Fair odds
6.55
book 7.18 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.3%
Odds 7.18
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 2.8%
Odds 28.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – RAY @ 7.18
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →