Match Real Sociedad vs Osasuna March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 20:00
3:1
Full-time
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.95
✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.89
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.96
✗
xG (open play)
1.97 – 0.48
Δ +1.49
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 1.95 — +12.6% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.95
✓ Cashed
AI 58%
Implied 51%
+0.95u
⛀ Lineups
RSO 4-1-4-1 · OSA 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
RSO 3
– 1 OSA
1.97
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.48
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
⏱ Match events
17 · 3 – 1
M. Oyarzabal (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
24'
G. Guedes
Assist · B. Turrientes · 2–0
⚽
28'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
I. Munoz ↓ · R. Moro ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
M. Gomez ↓ · L. Torro ↑
Substitution 2
G. Guedes
Assist · B. Turrientes · 3–0
⚽
52'
58'
⇄
J. Herrando ↓ · A. Catena ↑
Substitution 3
Beñat Turrientes
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Y. Herrera ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
P. Marin ↓ · G. Guedes ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
L. Sucic ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
O. Oskarsson ↓ ·
Substitution 4
⇄
69'
74'
⇄
K. Barja ↓ · A. Oroz ↑
Substitution 4
76'
⚽
V. Munoz
Assist · K. Barja · 3–1
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Yellow Card
▮
78'
Igor Zubeldia
Yellow Card
▮
82'
Wesley ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
84'
⇄
A. Osambela ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 1
Match recap
Real Sociedad beat Osasuna 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 0.48. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: M. Oyarzabal (24'), G. Guedes (28'), G. Guedes (52'), V. Munoz (76').
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.37 units (Brier 0.185).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
1.95 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.89 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
1.96 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.09 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.09 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.89 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.89 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.97 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.25 |
— |
83% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.42 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.42 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.51 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.32 |
— |
76% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
91% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.34 |
— |
71% |
Cashed |
+0.34 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
10.00 |
— |
9% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.66 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.62 |
— |
24% |
Cashed |
+2.62 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.16 |
— |
17% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
4.36 |
— |
17% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.37u |
−14% ROI |
