Match Mallorca vs Real Sociedad February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.41 — +7.1% better than the market.

Real Sociedad arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, despite Mallorca's home momentum. Mallorca's defensive solidity faces a tough test against Sociedad's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle with Sociedad pressing for control. The match hints at a moderate pace, with both sides cautious but Sociedad likely to exploit their offensive advantage.

Mallorca's home defense vs Sociedad's attack
Recent form favors Sociedad's confidence
Moderate tempo with tactical discipline expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.41 ✓ Cashed

AI 76% Implied 71% +0.41u

+41%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MAL 4-3-3 · RSO 4-2-3-1

MAL · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · RSO

17 Virgili

Subs used · MAL

69'

Luvumbo ↑ ·

Joseph ↓

79'

Morey Bauza ↑ ·

Maffeo ↓

79'

Morlanes ↑ ·

Mascarell ↓

84'

Prats ↑ ·

Virgili ↓

84'

Llabres ↑ ·

Costa ↓

Subs used · RSO

63'

Barrenetxea ↑ ·

Soler ↓

63'

Sucic ↑ ·

Zakharyan ↓

84'

Herrera ↑ ·

Gorrotxategi ↓

84'

Marin ↑ ·

Oyarzabal ↓

📊 Statistics

MAL 0 – 1 RSO

44%

Possession (%)

56%

0.68

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 1

36'

⚽

C. Soler

0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

63'

⇄

A. Barrenetxea ↓ · C. Soler ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

L. Sucic ↓ · A. Zakharyan ↑

Substitution 2

67'

▮

Jon Aramburu

Yellow Card

Z. Luvumbo ↓ · M. Joseph ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

M. Morey Bauza ↓ · P. Maffeo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

M. Morlanes ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

82'

▮

Jon Gorrotxategi

Yellow Card

A. Prats ↓ · J. Virgili ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

J. Llabres ↓ · Samu Costa ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

⇄

Y. Herrera ↓ · J. Gorrotxategi ↑

Substitution 3

84'

⇄

P. Marin ↓ · M. Oyarzabal ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Real Sociedad won 1–0 away at Mallorca. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3.

On the scoresheet: C. Soler (36').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.61 units (Brier 0.187).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.54	—	48%	Cashed	+1.54	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	48%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.81	—	54%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.85	—	48%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.19	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.41	—	76%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.58	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.14	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.29	—	75%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.33	—	29%	Cashed	+2.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.61u	−9% ROI