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Home Spain La Liga Oviedo — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Home Win · OVI
13%
Best 4.66
Draw
25%
Best 3.45
Away Win · ATM
62%
Best 1.81
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 10.00
Fair odds
8.80
book 10.00 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 11% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (89%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.7%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 42%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.7%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
OVI – ATM @ 10.00
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →