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Home Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Elche

Predictions Athletic Club vs Elche February 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Fri 20 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Home Win · BIL
52%
Best 1.70
Draw
23%
Best 3.75
Away Win · ELC
25%
Best 5.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.34
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.34 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (75%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 24.9%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 24.9%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ELC @ 2.34
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →