Match Real Betis vs Valencia February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.93 — +14.3% better than the market.

Real Betis hold a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their attacking strength outmatches Valencia's defensive setup, suggesting they can create chances effectively. Valencia's improved form hints at resilience, but Betis' home pressing and compact block should limit their threat. Expect a moderately paced game with a balanced goal environment, leaning towards Betis controlling the tempo.

Betis' home edge in defense and attack
Valencia's recent form showing signs of recovery
Moderate pace with tactical discipline from Betis

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.93 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.93u

+93%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · VAL 4-4-2

BET · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · VAL

9 Ávila ⚽

Subs used · BET

46'

Fornals ↑ ·

Altimira ↓

67'

Garcia ↑ ·

Avila ↓

90+1'

Gomez ↑ ·

Llorente ↓

90+1'

Ortiz ↑ ·

Antony ↓

Subs used · VAL

72'

Sadiq ↑ ·

Duro ↓

72'

Almeida ↑ ·

Beltran ↓

72'

Santamaria ↑ ·

Pepelu ↓

77'

Lopez ↑ ·

Rioja ↓

81'

Tarrega ↑ ·

Copete ↓

📊 Statistics

BET 2 – 1 VAL

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.89

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

20'

⚽

L. Rioja

Assist · L. Beltran · 0–1

C. Avila (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

23'

Half-time · 1 – 1

P. Fornals ↓ · S. Altimira ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

50'

▮

Eray Cömert

Yellow Card

53'

▮

Pepelu

Yellow Card

P. Garcia ↓ · C. Avila ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

72'

⇄

U. Sadiq ↓ · H. Duro ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

A. Almeida ↓ · L. Beltran ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

B. Santamaria ↓ · Pepelu ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

D. Lopez ↓ · L. Rioja ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

C. Tarrega ↓ · J. Copete ↑

Substitution 5

85'

▮

Dimitri Foulquier

Yellow Card

P. Fornals

2–1

⚽

88'

V. Gomez ↓ · D. Llorente ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+1'

A. Ortiz ↓ · Antony ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

90+7'

▮

César Tárrega

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Real Betis beat Valencia 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Rioja (20'), C. Avila (23'), P. Fornals (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.98 units (Brier 0.113).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.93	—	59%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.99	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.95	—	50%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	51%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.05	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.36	—	59%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.38	—	72%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.77	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	74%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.35	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.62	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.36	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.98u	−29% ROI