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Home Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca

Predictions Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Home Win · RAY
43%
Best 1.93
Draw
27%
Best 3.19
Away Win · MAL
29%
Best 4.55
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.95
Fair odds
1.76
book 1.95 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +10.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (71%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.2%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29.3%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.41
Show model details
Implied probability 29.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
RAY – MAL @ 1.95
+10.7%
Edge
Forecast →