Match Levante vs Espanyol January 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +7.5% better than the market.

Espanyol arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante’s home edge is limited, and their recent struggles hint at defensive vulnerabilities against Espanyol’s sharper attack. The match may see a moderate pace, with both sides capable of creating chances but Espanyol’s pressing and efficiency likely to tilt the balance.

Espanyol’s superior form and quality gap favor them.
Levante’s defensive frailties could be exploited.
Moderate tempo expected, with tactical pressing from Espanyol.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 71% +0.40u

+40%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEV 4-2-3-1 · ESP 4-4-2

LEV · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · ESP

9 Romero

Subs used · LEV

65'

Espi ↑ ·

Losada ↓

79'

A. Olasagasti ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

79'

Vencedor ↑ ·

Arriaga ↓

88'

Etta Eyong ↑ ·

Romero ↓

89'

Morales ↑ ·

Tunde ↓

Subs used · ESP

61'

Fernandez Jaen ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

69'

Puado ↑ ·

Milla ↓

69'

Terrats ↑ ·

Jofre ↓

73'

Pickel ↑

📊 Statistics

LEV 1 – 1 ESP

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.33

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 1

45+1'

▮

Kike García

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

53'

⚽

C. Romero

0–1

I. Losada

Assist · Dela · 1–1

⚽

55'

61'

⇄

R. Fernandez Jaen ↓ · K. Garcia ↑

Substitution 1

C. Espi ↓ · I. Losada ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

69'

⇄

J. Puado ↓ · P. Milla ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⇄

R. Terrats ↓ · Jofre ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

C. Pickel ↓ ·

Substitution 4

J. A. Olasagasti ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

U. Vencedor ↓ · K. Arriaga ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

K. Etta Eyong ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

J. Morales ↓ · K. Tunde ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Levante and Espanyol drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 3 on target.

On the scoresheet: C. Romero (53'), I. Losada (55').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.13 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.44	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.14	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.06	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.84	—	53%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.86	—	52%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.73	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.63	—	50%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.29	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	72%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	75%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.23	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.13u	−18% ROI