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Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Sevilla

Predictions Real Madrid vs Sevilla December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Home Win · REA
80%
Best 1.19
Draw
15%
Best 7.50
Away Win · SEV
5%
Best 13.70
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.50
Fair odds
6.71
book 7.50 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.9%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.4%
Odds 13.86
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 27.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.4%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.3%
Odds 4.81
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – SEV @ 7.50
+11.8%
Edge
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