Match Elche vs Girona December 7, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.00 — +13.1% better than the market.

Elche arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing a solid defensive shape that could frustrate Girona. The hosts' pressing and set-piece threat stand out against Girona's less effective defense. Girona's recent form hints at resilience but their away struggles and lower offensive output may limit chances.

Home defensive compactness vs away attack
Elche's better form and home edge
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.00 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · GIR 4-4-2

ELC · 3-5-2 4-4-2 · GIR

10 Mir ⚽

Subs used · ELC

46'

Mendoza ↑ ·

Diangana ↓

59'

Josan ↑ ·

Fort ↓

59'

Petrot ↑ ·

Bigas ↓

71'

Pedrosa ↑ ·

Valera ↓

82'

Donald ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

Subs used · GIR

66'

Roca ↑ ·

Asprilla ↓

66'

Lemar ↑ ·

Vanat ↓

66'

E. Solis Romero ↑ ·

Witsel ↓

72'

Rincon ↑ ·

Frances ↓

83'

Arango ↑ ·

Tsygankov ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 3 – 0 GIR

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0

17'

▮

Bryan Gil

Yellow Card

G. Valera

Assist · H. Fort · 1–0

⚽

40'

Half-time · 1 – 0

R. Mendoza ↓ · G. Diangana ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

R. Mir

Assist · H. Fort · 2–0

⚽

51'

R. Mir

3–0

⚽

57'

Josan ↓ · H. Fort ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

L. Petrot ↓ · P. Bigas ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

66'

⇄

J. Roca ↓ · Y. Asprilla ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

T. Lemar ↓ · V. Vanat ↑

Substitution 2

66'

⇄

J. E. Solis Romero ↓ · A. Witsel ↑

Substitution 3

A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Valera ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

72'

⇄

H. Rincon ↓ · A. Frances ↑

Substitution 4

J. Donald ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

83'

⇄

J. Arango ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑

Substitution 5

85'

▮

Juan Arango

Yellow Card

87'

▮

Iván Martín

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Elche beat Girona 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.93. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Valera (40'), R. Mir (51'), R. Mir (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.98 units (Brier 0.132).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.22	—	53%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.99	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.17	—	50%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	—	46%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.52	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	79%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	53%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.30	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	75%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	72%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.56	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.52	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.98u	−23% ROI