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Home Spain La Liga Oviedo — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano November 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 13:00
0:0
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Home Win · OVI
21%
Best 3.50
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · RAY
52%
Best 2.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.05
Fair odds
2.73
book 3.05 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20.8%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.6%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.8%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OVI – RAY @ 3.05
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →