Match Getafe vs Real Madrid October 19, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.40 — +8.8% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Real Madrid is expected to dominate the match against Getafe, leveraging their overall strength and attacking profile. The odds favor an Away Win with a 71% estimated probability, offering a solid betting opportunity. Additionally, the match is likely to see over 2.5 goals, given the attacking capabilities of both teams.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 3.40 ✗ Lost

AI 32% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GET 5-3-2 · REA 4-2-3-1

GET · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · REA

23 Liso

Subs used · GET

76'

Nyom ↑ ·

Femenia ↓

87'

Kamara ↑ ·

Martin ↓

90'

da Costa ↑ ·

Liso ↓

Subs used · REA

46'

Asencio ↑ ·

Alaba ↓

55'

Junior ↑ ·

Mastantuono ↓

65'

Guler ↑ ·

Camavinga ↓

86'

Garcia ↑ ·

Bellingham ↓

86'

Diaz ↑ ·

Rodrygo ↓

📊 Statistics

GET 0 – 1 REA

24%

Possession (%)

76%

0.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

54%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

R. Asencio ↓ · D. Alaba ↑

Substitution 1

Domingos Duarte

Yellow Card

▮

48'

55'

⇄

Vinicius Junior ↓ · F. Mastantuono ↑

Substitution 2

Kiko Femenía

Yellow Card

▮

63'

65'

⇄

A. Guler ↓ · E. Camavinga ↑

Substitution 3

Álex Sancris

Yellow Card

▮

74'

A. Nyom ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

76'

Allan Nyom

Red Card

▮

77'

80'

⚽

K. Mbappe

Assist · A. Guler · 0–1

Álex Sancris

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Álex Sancris

Red Card

▮

84'

86'

⇄

G. Garcia ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

B. Diaz ↓ · Rodrygo ↑

Substitution 5

A. Kamara ↓ · M. Martin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

87'

C. da Costa ↓ · A. Liso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90'

90+5'

▮

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Real Madrid won 1–0 away at Getafe. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 0.48. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Mbappe (80'). Allan Nyom was sent off in the 77' minute. Álex Sancris was sent off in the 84' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.38 units (Brier 0.159).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	3.40	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.47	—	71%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.81	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.25	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.72	—	56%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	22%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.96	—	46%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	68%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.95	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.75	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.14	—	71%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.38u	−20% ROI