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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Osasuna

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna October 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Home Win · ATM
74%
Best 1.37
Draw
19%
Best 5.11
Away Win · OSA
7%
Best 8.95
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.28 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 47% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.40
Show model details
Implied probability 9.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ATM – OSA @ 2.28
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →