P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano September 24, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Wed 24 Sep · 19:30
3:2
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Home Win · ATM
65%
Best 1.47
Draw
20%
Best 4.30
Away Win · RAY
10%
Best 7.10
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.05
Fair odds
1.82
book 2.05 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 55% · EV +13.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Team Totals 1 market
Home Team Total Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 80%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 55%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 70%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 85%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ATM – RAY @ 2.05
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →