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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 13:30
3:1
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Robert Schröder, Germany
Home Win · STU
42%
Best 2.30
Draw
22%
Best 4.16
Away Win · BAY
36%
Best 2.95
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.02
Fair odds
2.78
book 3.02 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (42%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 29.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
STU – BAY @ 3.02
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →