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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt May 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Fri 08 May · 18:30
3:2
Full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
L D L L D Away · last 5
Referee Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 37% · book 2.63
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 1.97
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
1.74 – 1.12
Δ +0.62
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.76 — +9.9% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a strong offensive profile against Frankfurt's average defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite some inconsistency, while Frankfurt struggles to maintain steady results on the road. Expect Dortmund to leverage their pressing edge and set-piece threat to control the game tempo.

  • Dortmund's attacking firepower vs Frankfurt's defense
  • Home advantage with tactical pressing
  • Frankfurt's patchy away form limits their threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.76 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 57% +0.76u
+76%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

DOR 32 EIN
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
13
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
5
14
Fouls
8
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 3 – 2
2'
C. Y. Uzun
Assist · M. Dahoud · 0–1
L. Reggiani
Yellow Card
21'
S. Guirassy
Assist · J. Ryerson · 1–1
42'
N. Schlotterbeck
Assist · M. Beier · 2–1
45+1'
Half-time · 2 – 1
57'
M. Gotze ↓ · M. Dahoud ↑
Substitution 1
57'
J. Bahoya ↓ · F. Chaibi ↑
Substitution 2
S. Inacio
Assist · M. Beier · 3–1
72'
F. Nmecha ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 1
74'
K. Adeyemi ↓ · J. Brandt ↑
Substitution 2
74'
77'
A. Amaimouni ↓ · C. Y. Uzun ↑
Substitution 3
77'
A. Knauff ↓ · A. Kalimuendo ↑
Substitution 4
S. Ozcan ↓ · M. Sabitzer ↑
Substitution 3
78'
F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑
Substitution 4
78'
82'
J. Burkardt ↓ · R. Doan ↑
Substitution 5
87'
J. Burkardt
3–2
N. Sule ↓ · L. Reggiani ↑
Substitution 5
88'
S. Inacio
Yellow Card
90+1'
G. Kobel
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.74 to 1.12. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Y. Uzun (2'), S. Guirassy (42'), N. Schlotterbeck (45+1'), S. Inacio (72'), J. Burkardt (87').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.75 units (Brier 0.107).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.97 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 2.67 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.97 2.00 47% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.19 2.15 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.76 1.69 62% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.22 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 2.88 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.50 1.42 63% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 1.32 62% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.50 5.99 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.08 4.27 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 1.10 86% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.36 1.40 68% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 4.51 4.27 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.30 3.26 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −4.75u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
DOR – EIN @ 1.76
+9.9%
Edge
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