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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig

Predictions Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 16:30
4:1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Home Win · BAY
45%
Best 2.23
Draw
22%
Best 4.11
Away Win · LEI
33%
Best 3.08
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.18
Fair odds
3.02
book 3.18 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +5.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12.7%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BAY – LEI @ 3.18
+5.2%
Edge
Forecast →