Match SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.46 — +7.6% better than the market.

Bundesliga Clash: Freiburg Hosts Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg enters this match with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a notable quality edge over VfL Wolfsburg. Their offensive pressure meets a Wolfsburg defense that has struggled, while Freiburg's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit the visitors' vulnerabilities. Wolfsburg's recent form shows signs of strain, making Freiburg favorites to control the tempo and likely edge the points.

Freiburg's home form and attacking edge
Wolfsburg's defensive struggles
Potential for a controlled, moderate-paced game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.46 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 68% +0.46u

+46%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FRE 1 – 1 WOL

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

11

Total Shots

13

3

Shots on Target

4

5

Shots off Target

7

8

Shots Inside Box

6

1

Corner Kicks

7

2

Offsides

1

5

Fouls

11

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

1

Yellow Cards

1

3

Goalkeeper Saves

2

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

55'

⚽

Konstantinos Koulierakis

Assist · Christian Eriksen · 0–1

Matthias Ginter

Yellow Card

▮

57'

Philipp Lienhart ↓ · Bruno Ogbus ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

Igor Matanović ↓ · Lucas Höler ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

Derry Scherhant ↓ · Vincenzo Grifo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Lukas Kübler ↓ · Christian Günter ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

⇄

Lovro Majer ↓ · Patrick Wimmer ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

Mattias Svanberg ↓ · Vinícius Souza ↑

Substitution 2

Philipp Lienhart

Assist · Johan Manzambi · 1–1

⚽

75'

81'

▮

Mattias Svanberg

Yellow Card

Nicolas Höfler ↓ · Yuito Suzuki ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

87'

⇄

Mohamed Amoura ↓ · Adam Daghim ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⇄

Yannick Gerhardt ↓ · Christian Eriksen ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⇄

Moritz Jenz ↓ · Konstantinos Koulierakis ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1.

On the scoresheet: Konstantinos Koulierakis (55'), Philipp Lienhart (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.54 units (Brier 0.164).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.48	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.28	—	45%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.73	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.82	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.61	—	51%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.14	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.46	—	74%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	67%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	57%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Away Win	2.94	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	78%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.54u	−15% ROI