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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart — Hamburger SV

Predictions VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV April 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Home Win · STU
70%
Best 1.29
Draw
19%
Best 6.00
Away Win · HAM
10%
Best 9.30
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.24
book 6.00 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +14.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.08
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.4%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 29.8%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STU – HAM @ 6.00
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →