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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — FC Augsburg

Predictions Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Home Win · HAM
37%
Best 2.45
Draw
25%
Best 3.35
Away Win · AUG
37%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.64
book 4.00 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 37.2%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HAM – AUG @ 4.00
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →