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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — 1. FC Köln

Predictions Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln March 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Home Win · HAM
38%
Best 2.44
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · KOL
37%
Best 2.97
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.62
book 1.80 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +11.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (63%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 36.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
HAM – KOL @ 1.80
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →