Match VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.48 — +8.0% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.48 ✓ Cashed

AI 73% Implied 68% +0.48u

+48%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 3-4-1-2 · LEI 4-3-3

STU · 3-4-1-2 4-3-3 · LEI

26 Undav ⚽

Subs used · STU

69'

Mittelstadt ↑ ·

Fuhrich ↓

69'

Nartey ↑ ·

El Khannouss ↓

69'

Tomas ↑ ·

Demirovic ↓

81'

Assignon ↑ ·

Leweling ↓

86'

Andres ↑ ·

Karazor ↓

Subs used · LEI

64'

Gruda ↑ ·

Banzuzi ↓

71'

Bakayoko ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

71'

Schlager ↑ ·

Seiwald ↓

71'

Harder ↑ ·

Cardoso ↓

88'

Henrichs ↑ ·

Baku ↓

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 0 LEI

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.02

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 0

39'

▮

Rômulo

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

D. Undav

Assist · C. Fuhrich · 1–0

⚽

56'

64'

⇄

B. Gruda ↓ · E. Banzuzi ↑

Substitution 1

Atakan Karazor

Yellow Card

▮

68'

M. Mittelstadt ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

N. Nartey ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

T. Tomas ↓ · E. Demirovic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

71'

⇄

J. Bakayoko ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

X. Schlager ↓ · N. Seiwald ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑

Substitution 4

L. Assignon ↓ · J. Leweling ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

83'

▮

Xaver Schlager

Yellow Card

C. Andres ↓ · A. Karazor ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

88'

⇄

B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart beat RB Leipzig 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Undav (56').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.11 units (Brier 0.285).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.40	—	50%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.95	—	53%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.05	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.82	—	50%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.64	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.15	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.48	—	73%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
BTTS No	3.33	—	31%	Cashed	+2.33	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.20	—	31%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.87	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	97%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.90	—	14%	Cashed	+5.90	Cashed
Under 0.5	28.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.36	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.11u	+30% ROI