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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga SC Freiburg — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Home Win · FRE
25%
Best 3.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.38
Away Win · BAY
49%
Best 2.37
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.97
book 3.25 · +9.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 24.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
FRE – BAY @ 3.25
+9.4%
Edge
Forecast →