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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln

Match FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln February 27, 2026 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
WWK Arena · Augsburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 66% · book 1.64 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.40 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.15 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.65 – 0.48
Δ +1.17
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.40 — +8.4% better than the market.

FC Augsburg enjoys a slight home momentum with recent wins boosting confidence, but 1.FC Köln holds a clear quality edge overall. Augsburg's defensive solidity at WWK Arena could challenge Köln's attacking efforts, though Köln's sharper offense might exploit gaps if Augsburg presses high.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
  • Recent form favors Augsburg but Köln's quality is superior
  • Moderate pace expected, balancing chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.40 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 42% +1.40u
+140%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AUG 3-4-2-1 · KOL 3-4-2-1
AUG · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · KOL 1 Dahmen 40 Banks 31 Schlotterbeck 16 Zesiger 19 Fellhauer 17 Jakić 4 Massengo 32 Rieder 36 Kömür 20 Claude-Maurice ⚽ 21 Ribeiro ⚽ 1 Schwäbe 33 Berg 22 Simpson-Pusey 39 Özkaçar 16 Kamiński 6 Martel 5 Krauß 32 Lund 7 Waldschmidt 30 Bülter 9 Ache
Subs used · AUG
50' Keitel ↑ · Jakic ↓
68' Gregoritsch ↑ · Ribeiro ↓
82' Wolf ↑ · Fellhauer ↓
82' Kade ↑ · Komur ↓
82' Rexhbecaj ↑ · Massengo ↓
Subs used · KOL
46' Johannesson ↑ · Martel ↓
66' Niang ↑ · Bulter ↓
66' El Mala ↑ · Waldschmidt ↓
78' Chavez ↑ · Simpson-Pusey ↓
84' Schenten ↑ · Krauss ↓

📊 Statistics

AUG 2 – 0 KOL
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.48
14
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
9
3
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
4
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 0
Han-Noah Massengo
Yellow Card
▮
15'
31'
▮
Eric Martel
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
I. Johannesson ↓ · E. Martel ↑
Substitution 1
Noahkai Banks
Yellow Card
▮
47'
Y. Keitel ↓ · K. Jakic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
50'
R. Ribeiro
Assist · N. Banks · 1–0
⚽
55'
Cedric Zesiger
Yellow Card
▮
66'
66'
⇄
Y. Niang ↓ · M. Bulter ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
S. El Mala ↓ · L. Waldschmidt ↑
Substitution 3
M. Gregoritsch ↓ · R. Ribeiro ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
78'
⇄
F. Chavez ↓ · J. Simpson-Pusey ↑
Substitution 4
M. Wolf ↓ · R. Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
A. Kade ↓ · M. Komur ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
E. Rexhbecaj ↓ · H. Massengo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
84'
⇄
F. Schenten ↓ · T. Krauss ↑
Substitution 5
A. Claude-Maurice
Assist · M. Gregoritsch · 2–0
⚽
90'
Yannik Keitel
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Köln 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.48. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Ribeiro (55'), A. Claude-Maurice (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.13 units (Brier 0.192).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.64 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.40 — 45% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 — 50% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.81 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.27 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.41 — 34% Cashed +1.41 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.74 — 34% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Away Win 3.20 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 — 60% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 — 71% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.40 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 — 75% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.13u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
AUG – KOL @ 2.40
+8.4%
Edge
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