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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln

Predictions VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln February 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 17:30
3:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Home Win · STU
70%
Best 1.46
Draw
19%
Best 4.75
Away Win · KOL
11%
Best 6.10
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.89
Fair odds
2.71
book 2.89 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +6.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.9%
Odds 6.70
Show model details
Implied probability 14.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.9%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
STU – KOL @ 2.89
+6.5%
Edge
Forecast →