Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV February 7, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.48 — +8.1% better than the market.

Hamburger SV holds a clear quality edge and defensive solidity advantage, suggesting they can control the game despite a modest attacking matchup. Heidenheim's home edge is limited, and their recent form shows inconsistency, while Hamburg's steady points per game hint at better momentum. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo given balanced goal expectations and a slight defensive tilt.

Hamburg's defensive resilience could stifle Heidenheim's attack.
Home side's patchy form may limit offensive threat.
Moderate pace expected, favoring compact play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.48 ✓ Cashed

AI 73% Implied 68% +0.48u

+48%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEI 3-4-2-1 · HAM 3-4-2-1

HEI · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · HAM

18 Pieringer

Subs used · HEI

46'

Conteh ↑ ·

H. Traore ↓

46'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

63'

Honsak ↑ ·

Ibrahimovic ↓

64'

Zivzivadze ↑ ·

Niehues ↓

77'

Beck ↑ ·

Gimber ↓

Subs used · HAM

46'

Torunarigha ↑ ·

Elfadli ↓

46'

Downs ↑ ·

S. Lokonga ↓

68'

Mikelbrencis ↑ ·

Konigsdorffer ↓

68'

Philippe ↑ ·

Otele ↓

80'

Gocholeishvili ↑ ·

Vieira ↓

📊 Statistics

HEI 0 – 2 HAM

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 2

▮

Daniel Elfadli

Yellow Card

45'

⚽

R. Konigsdorffer

Assist · P. Otele · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

S. Conteh ↓ · O. H. Traore ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

S. Schimmer ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

J. Torunarigha ↓ · D. Elfadli ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

D. Downs ↓ · A. S. Lokonga ↑

Substitution 2

M. Honsak ↓ · A. Ibrahimovic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

B. Zivzivadze ↓ · J. Niehues ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

64'

68'

⇄

W. Mikelbrencis ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑

Substitution 3

68'

⇄

R. Philippe ↓ · P. Otele ↑

Substitution 4

A. Beck ↓ · B. Gimber ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

78'

⚽

R. Philippe

Assist · F. Vieira · 0–2

80'

⇄

G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · F. Vieira ↑

Substitution 5

88'

▮

William Mikelbrencis

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Hamburger SV won 2–0 away at 1. FC Heidenheim. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 14, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: R. Konigsdorffer (45'), R. Philippe (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.88 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.08	—	56%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Away Win	2.59	—	47%	Cashed	+1.59	Cashed
BTTS No	2.33	—	51%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.89	—	47%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.64	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.06	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.48	—	73%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	76%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.87	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.05	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	69%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.88u	−17% ROI