Match Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Heidenheim February 1, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.50 — +10.9% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality and home edge, backed by a strong recent form and a potent attack facing a less resilient Heidenheim defense. Their pressing and quick transitions could exploit Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities, while Dortmund's home momentum suggests control over the game's pace. Expect a tactical mismatch favoring Dortmund's offensive firepower and compact block.

Home side's superior form and attacking edge
Heidenheim's defensive struggles against high-tempo play
Likely controlled pace with Dortmund dictating tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 6.50 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · HEI 3-4-3

DOR · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · HEI

9 Guirassy ⚽

Subs used · DOR

46'

Sule ↑ ·

Mane ↓

58'

Beier ↑ ·

Couto ↓

58'

Chukwuemeka ↑ ·

Bellingham ↓

69'

Silva ↑ ·

Adeyemi ↓

90+3'

Ozcan ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

Subs used · HEI

46'

Ibrahimovic ↑ ·

Honsak ↓

70'

Schoppner ↑ ·

Niehues ↓

80'

Schimmer ↑ ·

H. Traore ↓

80'

Kaufmann ↑ ·

Dinkci ↓

80'

Conteh ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

📊 Statistics

DOR 3 – 2 HEI

65%

Possession (%)

35%

3.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 2

40'

▮

Mathias Honsak

Yellow Card

W. Anton

1–0

⚽

44'

45'

⚽

J. Niehues

1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

N. Sule ↓ · F. Mane ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

A. Ibrahimovic ↓ · M. Honsak ↑

Substitution 1

48'

⚽

J. Niehues

Assist · E. Dinkci · 1–2

Waldemar Anton

Yellow Card

▮

49'

M. Beier ↓ · Y. Couto ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

64'

▮

Julian Niehues

Yellow Card

S. Guirassy (P)

Penalty · 2–2

⚽

68'

F. Silva ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

S. Guirassy

Assist · M. Beier · 3–2

⚽

69'

70'

⇄

J. Schoppner ↓ · J. Niehues ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

S. Schimmer ↓ · O. H. Traore ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

M. Kaufmann ↓ · E. Dinkci ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

S. Conteh ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 5

S. Ozcan ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+3'

Gregor Kobel

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Heidenheim 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.32 to 2.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Anton (44'), J. Niehues (45'), J. Niehues (48'), S. Guirassy (68'), S. Guirassy (69').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.84 units (Brier 0.100).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.81	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	51%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.17	—	41%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.80	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.27	—	79%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	62%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.05	—	79%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	83%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.33	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.55	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.84u	−34% ROI

Match Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Heidenheim February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.50 — +10.9% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled