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Home World UEFA Champions League Bayern München — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain May 6, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W W L D
Kick-off
Wed 06 May · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W W W D D Away · last 5
Referee J. Pinheiro
Home Win · BAY
52%
Best 1.70
Draw
21%
Best 5.33
Away Win · PSG
27%
Best 4.22
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.30 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (73%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 5 markets
Over 3.5 Goals
Probability 68%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5 Goals
Probability 84%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5 Goals
Probability 32%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5 Goals
Probability 16%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Goals Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 22%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality High
AH Away 0
Probability 27%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 48%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – PSG @ 2.30
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →