Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers May 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 12.00 — +11.9% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian hosts Rangers in a tightly poised Premiership clash. Despite Rangers' slightly higher overall quality, Hearts enjoy a mild home edge with a compact defense that could frustrate the visitors. Recent form favors Rangers, but Hearts' home momentum and defensive solidity suggest a cautious, tactical battle.

Hearts' defensive resilience may blunt Rangers' attacking edge.
Rangers' recent winning streak signals growing confidence.
Moderate pace expected, likely under 2.5 goals given defensive setups.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 12.00 ✗ Lost

AI 9% Implied 8% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEA 4-4-2 · RAN 4-3-3

HEA · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · RAN

10 Braga

📊 Statistics

HEA 2 – 1 RAN

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat Rangers 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.217).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.45	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.05	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.82	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	46%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	51%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.75	—	27%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.02	—	27%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	53%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	71%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.59u	−21% ROI