Match Plzen vs Hradec Králové May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.90 — +9.1% better than the market.

Plzen hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, supported by a solid defensive setup that challenges Hradec Králové's attack. Despite Hradec's impressive winning streak, their away form and defensive resilience face a stern test. The tactical battle will likely focus on Plzen's ability to control tempo and exploit set-piece opportunities.

Home side's defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Plzen's home advantage with a compact block
Hradec's recent form providing confidence but tested on the road

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.90 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 26% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PLZ 3-4-1-2 · HRA 3-4-2-1

PLZ · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · HRA

80 Adu

📊 Statistics

PLZ 3 – 1 HRA

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.15

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Plzen beat Hradec Králové 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.27 to 1.15. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 8, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.51 units (Brier 0.185).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.07	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.62	—	64%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	49%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.34	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.76	—	48%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	27%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.90	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	86%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	—	64%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	4.30	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	72%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Away Win	5.15	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.51u	−23% ROI