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Home Switzerland Super League FC Lugano — BSC Young Boys

Predictions FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys May 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 14:30
1:0
Full-time
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
L L W W D Away · last 5
Stadio di Cornaredo · Lugano Referee Johannes von Mandach, Switzerland
Home Win · LUG
33%
Best 2.38
Draw
24%
Best 3.80
Away Win · YOU
44%
Best 2.63
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.38 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.8%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LUG – YOU @ 2.38
+14.7%
Edge
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