Match FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.31 — +14.4% better than the market.

FC ST. Gallen holds a clear quality edge at home, supported by a solid defensive setup that challenges FC Sion's attack. Despite Sion's recent strong form, St. Gallen's home momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance. The matchup suggests a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, but St. Gallen's ability to control the midfield and exploit set-pieces may prove decisive.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
St. Gallen's home rhythm and pressing intensity
Moderate tempo favors structured play over fast breaks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.31 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAL 3-1-4-2 · SIO 4-2-3-1

GAL · 3-1-4-2 4-2-3-1 · SIO

14 Balde

📊 Statistics

GAL 0 – 3 SIO

54%

Possession (%)

46%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Sion won 3–0 away at FC ST. Gallen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.62 units (Brier 0.227).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.31	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	41%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.35	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	56%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.72	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.38	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	50%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.08	—	26%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	65%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.88	—	26%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	79%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.62u	−15% ROI