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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — Werder Bremen

Predictions Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen January 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 14:30
1:0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany
Home Win · BAY
65%
Best 1.56
Draw
21%
Best 4.34
Away Win · WER
14%
Best 5.45
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.39
book 6.00 · +11.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +11.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 4.57
Show model details
Implied probability 21.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 14%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.5%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 14%
Odds 3.97
Show model details
Implied probability 25.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BAY – WER @ 6.00
+11.2%
Edge
Forecast →