Match KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 15.00 — +11.5% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record and a sharper attack compared to OH Leuven. Westerlo’s pressing and compact block at Het Kuipje should limit Leuven’s chances, who struggle with form and offensive output. The match hints at a controlled tempo with moderate goal potential, favoring a disciplined home side.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Recent form favors Westerlo’s confidence
Moderate pace suggests fewer high-scoring moments

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 15.00 ✗ Lost

AI 7% Implied 7% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-2-3-1 · LEU 3-4-3

WES · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · LEU

90 Ferri

📊 Statistics

WES 3 – 3 LEU

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

KVC Westerlo and OH Leuven drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–3.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.11 units (Brier 0.213).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.95	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.26	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.32	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	52%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	43%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	—	31%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.76	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.46	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.77	—	24%	Cashed	+2.77	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	76%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	3.75	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.11u	−12% ROI