Match Lommel United vs Liège April 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.50 — +10.3% better than the market.

With limited form and strength data, this Jupiler Pro League clash leans towards a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight edge to the home side, likely benefiting from familiar surroundings. Expect a compact defensive setup from Away, aiming to frustrate and capitalize on counterattacks.

Home likely holds a mild advantage in control and pressing.
Away may rely on disciplined defense and quick transitions.
Goal scoring could be limited, favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 67% +0.50u

+50%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KVS 4-4-2 · LIE 5-4-1

KVS · 4-4-2 5-4-1 · LIE

30 Seuntjens

📊 Statistics

KVS 3 – 0 LIE

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lommel United beat Liège 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.19 units (Brier 0.142).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.25	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	53%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.71	—	50%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	48%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.61	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	74%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.25	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.62	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.58	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	83%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	50%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.19u	−31% ROI