Match St. Truiden vs Anderlecht April 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.36 — +5.9% better than the market.

St. Truiden holds a clear quality edge and a mild home advantage, despite recent struggles in form. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Anderlecht's leaky backline, suggesting a tactical battle where St. Truiden can leverage their compact block. Anderlecht's recent wins hint at some momentum, but their away defensive frailties and lower overall strength may limit their threat.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking pressure
St. Truiden's home edge in tactical discipline
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 78% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TRU 4-2-3-1 · AND 4-2-3-1

TRU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AND

42 Goto

📊 Statistics

TRU 2 – 0 AND

54%

Possession (%)

46%

1.29

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden beat Anderlecht 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.157).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.18	—	53%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.65	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.38	—	41%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS No	2.45	—	39%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.56	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.60	—	53%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.39	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	78%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	81%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.22u	−19% ROI