Match Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos April 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.80 — +14.3% better than the market.

Panetolikos enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Asteras Tripolis show resilience at home with a compact defensive setup, but Panetolikos’ sharper attack could test their limits. Expect a cautious tempo with a pressing edge from the visitors aiming to exploit defensive gaps.

Panetolikos’ offensive threat vs Asteras’ defense
Home side’s solid defensive shape
Recent form favors visitors’ momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AST 3-4-3 · PAN 4-4-1-1

AST · 3-4-3 4-4-1-1 · PAN

1 Papadopoulos

3 Šipčić

13 Triantafyllopoulos

40 Ketu

📊 Statistics

AST 2 – 1 PAN

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Asteras Tripolis beat Panetolikos 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.75 units (Brier 0.230).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.68	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.28	—	37%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.35	—	31%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.82	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	87%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	65%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.44	—	56%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	81%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.51	—	37%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.75u	−22% ROI