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Home Austria Bundesliga Sturm Graz — Lask Linz

Predictions Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz April 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Home · last 5 D D D W W
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 18:30
1:1
Full-time
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
D W W W W Away · last 5
Merkur-Arena · Graz Referee Arnes Talic, Austria
Home Win · STU
47%
Best 3.40
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · LAS
28%
Best 2.05
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.74
book 4.20 · +12.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +12.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STU – LAS @ 4.20
+12.4%
Edge
Forecast →