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Home Austria Bundesliga Ried — Grazer AK

Predictions Ried vs Grazer AK April 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Tue 21 Apr · 18:30
2:1
Full-time
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L L W D W Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Pfister, Austria
Home Win · RIE
51%
Best 2.05
Draw
27%
Best 3.18
Away Win · GRA
22%
Best 3.78
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.25 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.8%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 21.8%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RIE – GRA @ 3.25
+12.0%
Edge
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