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Home Denmark Superliga FC Midtjylland — Aarhus

Predictions FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus April 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W D D D L
Kick-off
Mon 20 Apr · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Aarhus
Aarhus
D D W W W Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee Sandi Putros, Denmark
Home Win · MID
54%
Best 1.97
Draw
26%
Best 3.44
Away Win · AAR
20%
Best 3.68
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.76
book 3.10 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (64%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.4%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MID – AAR @ 3.10
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →