Match Anderlecht vs Gent April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.91 — +11.2% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.91 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AND 4-2-3-1 · GEN 3-4-1-2

AND · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · GEN

9 Cvetković

📊 Statistics

AND 3 – 1 GEN

65%

Possession (%)

35%

1.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Anderlecht beat Gent 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 1.53. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.06 units (Brier 0.173).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.65	—	37%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	59%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	60%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
BTTS No	2.33	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.28	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	—	42%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Away Win	3.85	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.81	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.52	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	66%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	81%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.88	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.45	—	42%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.75	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.06u	−24% ROI